The Premier League is finally back! The games will be played behind closed doors because of the COVID-19 pandemic and we will have a great contest on Wednesday when Manchester City hosts Arsenal.
Manchester City is second in the Premier League standings with 57 points in 28 games, four points ahead of Leicester City. Arsenal is in ninth place with 40 points in 28 games. Manchester City is coming off a 2-0 road loss against Manchester United on March 8 while Arsenal beat West Ham United 1-0 at home on March 7.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is in this matchup.
Betting Odds at Scoresandstats
Team to Win (Regular Time)
Manchester City: -294
Arsenal: +640
Draw: +440
Spread
Manchester City: -1.5 (-110)
Arsenal: +1.5 (-110)
Total
Over 3, 3.5 (-120)
Under 3, 3.5 (+100)
Key Points to Consider
Manchester City, coming off a 2-0 road loss against Manchester United, have five wins, one loss and zero draws in their last six overall. Arsenal, coming off a 1-0 home win against West Ham United, have five wins, one loss and zero draws in their last six overall.
Momentum: Arsenal has been on an upward trend — winning their last three games in the Premier League.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on December 15, 2019 and Manchester City won 3-0.
Projected Leaders
Simulations I have run project Sergio Agüero, Raheem Sterling and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang as the players most likely to score (the first two are from Manchester City).
Both teams are playing well and I get why Manchester City is heavily favored but having no fans in attendance negates some of Manchester City’s home field advantage and Arsenal has very talented players that can at least keep this game close.
Free Soccer Pick From Realbookies: Arsenal +1.5 (-110)
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